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August 20, 2026S02E116CHASING THE UNICORN

Is This $100 Pappy Van Winkle Raffle Actually Legit?

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August 20, 2026

Is This $100 Pappy Van Winkle Raffle Actually Legit?

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This is The Cut. American whiskey, daily.

A charity in Lexington is giving away six bottles of Pappy Van Winkle for a hundred bucks a ticket — and less than ten percent of the field has sold. That's not a typo. That's just math nobody's taken advantage of yet.

I'm John from Chasing the Unicorn Podcast. Here's what moved today. August 20, 2026.

Today's Big Move is that raffle, and it's worth slowing down on, because most allocated-bottle access runs through odds nobody can calculate. Commonwealth Causes, a Kentucky nonprofit, capped its Ultimate Bourbon Collection Raffle at fifteen hundred tickets, a hundred dollars each. As of this week, a hundred and thirty had sold. Under ten percent, this close to the finish line, with the drawing set for August 27.

The grand prize is a full six-bottle Pappy Van Winkle set. But that's not the whole ticket. Four more prize packages ride along with it — a Buffalo Trace Double Eagle Very Rare, a six-bottle William Larue Weller vertical, an eight-bottle Blanton's letter set, and a single Elmer T. Lee. One ticket, five separate shots at bourbon most drinkers will never see on a shelf at any price.

Compare that to a typical distributor lottery, where the odds are a black box and the prize is usually one bottle. Here the ticket count is public, the cap is fixed, and the field genuinely hasn't filled up. Proceeds go to youth and community programs through the Lexington Sporting Club Foundation, so even the ticket you don't win does something. Nothing on your shelf changes this week. But a hundred dollars buys real odds at bourbon you can't buy at any price at retail.

Now — today's stop On the Road. It isn't just Kentucky doing something worth watching this week. Three very different corners of the country moved, and none of them look like each other.

Start in Iowa. Cedar Ridge Distillery just became the official bourbon of Hawkeye Athletics — the first spirits partnership the University of Iowa has ever signed. They launched a line called 1847, named for the year the university was founded, and it's already pouring in the premium club areas at Kinnick Stadium. Cedar Ridge isn't some outside brand buying its way onto a scoreboard, either — it's Iowa's own, the state's first licensed distillery since Prohibition, and its Original 86 has been the top-selling bourbon in Iowa for a while now. What this really is: a state's best-selling bourbon getting put in front of a stadium full of people who'd never otherwise walk into its tasting room. That's a distribution win most craft distilleries spend a decade chasing and never get.

Then there's the Hudson Valley, in New York. A husband-and-wife team bought a two-hundred-twenty-acre former sheep farm back in 2020 and turned it into a rye distillery — but the twist is, they grow most of their own grain. About seventy percent of what goes into the still is raised right there, on the same dirt, under regenerative farming practices. Their flagship rye runs three years old, eighty-eight dollars a bottle. That's an honest farm-to-bottle claim, not a label with a nice illustration on it. Vertical integration like that is rare even among craft producers who build their whole pitch around provenance.

And out in Los Angeles — of all places — a brand called Filmland Spirits is dropping a horror-movie-themed American Single Malt called The Malted Mummy. Five years old, finished in beer barrels sourced from an Iowa brewery, then aged out in Kentucky. It debuts next week at a festival before landing in nineteen states. The category it's chasing is the fastest-growing corner of the whiskey shelf right now — American Single Malt was worth over eight hundred million dollars last year and is on pace to nearly double by the mid-2030s. A novelty label riding a real growth curve, built on a genuinely odd supply chain. That's the bet.

Three regions, three completely different playbooks — a sports sponsorship, a working farm, and a beer-barrel horror bottle. None of them needed a lottery or an allocation list to matter. That's the story On the Road is actually telling this week: growth in this category isn't only happening behind a velvet rope in Kentucky.

Now, quick First Sip. So here's what it is. "Allocated" describes how a bottle gets distributed — not how good it is. Allocated bourbons are made in limited quantities where demand outpaces supply, so distributors ration them out to retailers in small numbers. Pappy, Buffalo Trace Antique Collection, Weller, Blanton's — allocated because production is genuinely constrained, not because a marketing team decided to call them rare. You can tell a bottle is really allocated when it moves through a lottery or a wait list, when the price varies wildly by state, and when the secondary market pays multiples of the sticker. Today's raffle is a clean example from the outside — five genuinely hard-to-find prize tiers, moved through a public, fixed ticket count instead of a black box. What this changes — next time you hear "allocated," don't assume it means better. It just means scarcer, and scarcer is only worth chasing when the bottle underneath actually earns it. And if you're logging pours in the Perfect Pour app, put an allocated bottle next to a regular release in your Logbook sometime — it's available now at theperfectpourapp.com, and it's a good way to see how differently the two actually show up on your Pour Print.

One to grab this week. Bardstown Bourbon Company's 2026 Discovery hits shelves nationwide starting tomorrow, at a hundred thirty-nine ninety-nine. It's a blend of seven, ten, and eleven-year-old bourbons, finished four months in custom Garryana oak out of Oregon, bottled hot at a hundred twelve point eight proof. What makes it worth flagging is the timing — Bardstown released it the same day, at the exact same price, as its Scotch-cask sibling, Lochs of Jura. That's a genuine same-week comparison, not a marketing pair dressed up to look like one. If you're the kind of drinker who likes to taste two decisions side by side instead of guessing, this is the week to do it. Grab a bottle, and if you can find its sibling too, do the flight yourself.

So here's the one thing to take with you today. The bottles worth chasing this week didn't all come from a warehouse in Kentucky — they came from a stadium sponsorship in Iowa, a sheep farm in New York, and a beer barrel in Iowa that ended up in Kentucky anyway. The map is wider than the allocation list. Keep your eyes on all of it.

That's The Cut. The full American Whiskey Industry Brief is free every morning at chasingtheunicornpodcast.com. I'm John Schuster. Thanks for joining me. Your unicorn is out there.

A Kentucky charity is running the rare bourbon raffle where the math actually favors you. Commonwealth Causes capped its Ultimate Bourbon Collection Raffle at 1,500 tickets, $100 each — and as of this week, only 130 had sold. The grand prize is a full six-bottle Pappy Van Winkle set, with four more allocated-bourbon prize packages riding the same ticket, including a Buffalo Trace Double Eagle Very Rare and an eight-bottle Blanton's letter set. The drawing lands August 27. Today's Cut also covers Maker's Mark's oldest cask-strength cellar release yet and a genuine same-week comparison between two new Bardstown Bourbon Company finishes. Listen to the full Cut for what else moved.

Listen to today's episode and find us on Spotify and everywhere you listen at chasingtheunicornpodcast.com/episodes.

The Cut Daily
The pulse of American whiskey: What moved — and why it matters.
Chasing the Unicorn Podcast Edition · A Drunken Unicorn Production
Report Date: August 20, 2026
Reporting Period: August 18, 2026 through August 20, 2026
Classification: Free Edition · Share with Attribution
Free Edition · The Cut Daily · Chasing the Unicorn Podcast · A Drunken Unicorn Production · Drunken Unicorn Productions, LLC. The Cut Daily is the free gateway brief to the American Whiskey Industry Brief. Share, quote, and repost freely with attribution. Required attribution: "The Cut Daily · August 20, 2026 · Chasing the Unicorn Podcast · A Drunken Unicorn Production." The full AWIB is published free every morning at chasingtheunicornpodcast.com. Permissions and inquiries: chasingtheunicornpodcast.com.

Informational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing here is investment advice. Verify before buying, trading, or bidding. We are not liable for errors or financial losses.
What Is The Cut Daily? — The Cut Daily is the free written brief from Chasing the Unicorn. Every weekday we translate the biggest moves in American whiskey into plain English, teach one bourbon concept you can use at the shelf today, flag one bottle under $60 worth knowing about, and curate three Hunt picks across three price tiers. Knowledge-first chase. No FOMO. Just what moved and why it matters.
The full American Whiskey Industry Brief — every story, every Hunt entry, every debate, every auction — is published free every morning. If you want the full pour, not just the taste, read it at chasingtheunicornpodcast.com/the-brief/.
The Cut Daily is the free written companion to today's American Whiskey Industry Brief.
IN TODAY'S CUT

Six bottles of Pappy. One hundred bucks. A $100 raffle ticket for six bottles of Pappy Van Winkle just opened — and with only 130 of 1,500 entries sold, the odds are still genuinely good.

A Kentucky charity raffle is offering a six-bottle Pappy Van Winkle set, a Buffalo Trace Double Eagle Very Rare, a Weller vertical, and a Blanton's letter set — all for a $100 ticket, with less than 10% of the field sold so far. That matters because most allocated-bottle access runs through odds nobody can calculate; this one you can actually do the math on. Today's edition also covers Maker's Mark's oldest cask-strength cellar release yet, a paused tariff that leaves the real export problem untouched, and a rare same-price Bardstown Bourbon comparison.

THE BIG MOVE
A $100 Raffle Ticket Buys Five Shots at Allocated Bourbon — And the Field Is Wide Open
Event Date: 2026-08-27

A Kentucky nonprofit is running a bourbon raffle where the math actually favors you. Commonwealth Causes capped its Ultimate Bourbon Collection Raffle at 1,500 tickets, $100 each. As of this week, only 130 had sold. That's under 10% of the field, this close to the finish line. The grand prize is a full six-bottle Pappy Van Winkle set. Four more prize packages ride on the same $100 ticket: a Buffalo Trace Double Eagle Very Rare bottle, a six-bottle William Larue Weller vertical, an eight-bottle Blanton's letter set, and a single Elmer T. Lee. That's five separate shots at bourbon most drinkers will never see on a shelf, from one ticket. The drawing lands August 27 at 8 p.m. Eastern. The raffle runs under Kentucky Charitable Gaming License #ORG0002761, and proceeds go to the Lexington Sporting Club Foundation's education, youth development, and community programs. Compare that to a typical distributor lottery, where the odds are a black box and the prize is usually one bottle, not five. Here, the ticket count is public, the cap is fixed, and the field genuinely hasn't filled up. That's rare.

What It Means For Your Shelf — Nothing on your shelf changes this week — but $100 gets you real odds at bourbon you can't buy at any price at retail.
From today's AWIB Opening Pour. This is one of four lead stories in today's AWIB Opening Pour. The other three: Maker's Mark's Oldest-Ever Cellar Aged Blend; Canada Tariff Paused Three Days Out; Very Olde St. Nick's Four-Decade Blend. Read all four lead stories in The Brief →
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FIRST SIP
Allocated vs. Regular Release
Paired with today's: Commonwealth Causes Ultimate Bourbon Collection Raffle

"Allocated" describes how a bottle gets distributed — not how good it is. Allocated bourbons are made in limited quantities where demand outpaces supply, so distributors ration them out to retailers in small numbers. Pappy Van Winkle, Buffalo Trace Antique Collection, Weller, Blanton's — these are allocated because their production is genuinely constrained, not because a marketing team decided to call them "rare." You can tell a bottle is really allocated when it shows up through a lottery or wait list, when the retail price varies wildly by state, and when the secondary market pays multiples of the sticker price. Today's raffle is a useful example of what allocation actually looks like from the outside: five prize tiers, all genuinely hard to find at retail, distributed through a mechanism with a public, fixed ticket count instead of a black-box lottery. What this changes: next time you hear "allocated," don't assume it means better. It just means scarcer — and scarcer is worth chasing only when the bottle underneath earns it.

The Perfect Pour app — available now. Log an allocated pour next to a regular-release pour in your Logbook and watch how differently the two show up on your Pour Print. Build your Rickhouse →
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TODAY'S ENTRY BOTTLE
Old Grand-Dad Bottled-in-Bond
$24.99 A core national expression, stocked at nearly every liquor store that carries bourbon.
Flavor Profile — Baking spice and black pepper up front from its high-rye mash bill, with brown sugar and a dry, peppery finish. It's a sharper, spicier pour than a wheated bourbon — a good contrast bottle if your shelf leans soft.
Production Context — A high-rye mash bill, aged at least four years and bottled at the federally required 100 proof under Bottled-in-Bond rules. No color, no blending, no shortcuts.
Why This Matters — If today's raffle has you dreaming about Pappy and Weller, start here instead — a legally transparent, federally verified bourbon for $25 teaches you the same BiB rules the allocated tier is built on.
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THE CHASE
How to read the chase ratings
YESworth chasing
WATCHhold for now
PASSskip this one
Bottle 1 — Under $80
Filmland Spirits The Malted Mummy
Window: Debuts August 29, 2026, at BrewzleFest; 19-state distribution follows
Where: BrewzleFest launch event; 19-state retail plus online
MSRP: $74.99
Flavor Profile — Profile unconfirmed — watch for early reviews.
YES
Rationale — A 5-year-old, 100% malted barley American Single Malt finished in Iowa beer barrels and aged in Kentucky — an unusual supply chain in a category growing fast enough to matter.
Bottle 2 — $80 to $200
Bardstown Bourbon Company 2026 Discovery
Window: Nationwide rollout begins August 21, 2026, while limited quantities last
Where: Bardstown Bourbon Company distillery and select national retail
MSRP: $139.99
Flavor Profile — Profile unconfirmed — watch for early reviews.
YES
Rationale — A three-age bourbon blend finished four months in custom Garryana oak, bottled hot at 112.8 proof and released the same day, at the same price, as its Scotch-cask sibling — a genuine same-week comparison, not a marketing pair.
Bottle 3 — $200 and up
Very Olde St. Nick Immaculata 2026
Window: Limited 13-barrel batch, available now while supplies last
Where: Kentucky distillery events and select national accounts
MSRP: $260
Flavor Profile — Profile unconfirmed — watch for early reviews.
YES
Rationale — A cask-strength blend of three whiskeys spanning 8 to 19 years, built from a 300-cask evaluation and bottled unfiltered at 118.2 proof — real production scarcity, not a manufactured limited run.
Today's AWIB Hunt section covers 5 active drops, lotteries, and walk-up windows with full palate direction, rationale, and the Hunt Intelligence Note. See the full Hunt in The Brief →
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THE BAR TALK
Is Brown-Forman's Three-Year Slide a Warning for the Whole Category?

Brown-Forman's stock has dropped 63% over three years and hit an 11-year low. One camp reads that as a warning sign for bourbon as a whole. The other says it's one company's problem — a specific portfolio mix, a specific set of bad quarters — not a signal that the category itself is in trouble.

First Sip Moment —

Part of what makes this story land as more than one company's bad year is the cooperage closure. Brown-Forman had built its own barrel supply specifically to avoid market exposure to oak shortages — closing it is a bet that production stays smaller for a while, not a short-term belt-tightening move.

The Math —

Brown-Forman's fiscal Q4 net sales fell 7% to $894 million, operating income dropped 45% to $205 million, and full-year net sales fell 5% to $4.0 billion. Whiskey volume slipped 3%. The company cut about 12% of its global workforce — roughly 640 jobs — and closed its own cooperage, eliminating another 210. Coverage this window puts Brown-Forman alongside MGP Ingredients scaling back production and Constellation Spirits' 14% sales decline.

What It Means For The Rest Of Us —

One company closing its own barrel supply is a real signal — watch your everyday bottles' pricing over the next two quarters.

Today's AWIB Bar Talk has 2 more debates with full source citations, fact-checked positions, and editorial assessment. Read the full debates in The Brief →
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SECONDARY SPOTLIGHT
Eagle Rare BTAC 17 Year (2024 release)
Realized Price
$410
Peak Price
$650
Floor Erosion
↓ 36.9%
($650 − $410) ÷ $650 × 100 = 36.9% erosion
What Floor Erosion Means —

Floor erosion is how much a bottle's market value has dropped from its all-time high. A 36.9% erosion means this Eagle Rare 17 is now trading for well under two-thirds of what it commanded in 2023. It's still selling far above its roughly $99 MSRP, but the gap has been shrinking steadily, tracking a broader correction across the mid-tier of Buffalo Trace's Antique Collection.

The lesson: Even a genuinely allocated bottle softens when enough of a given year's release works its way onto the secondary market — scarcity fades over time even for bottles with real production limits.
Today's AWIB Secondary section grades 2 more bottles with realized prices, floor erosion math, lineage notes, and buy/hold/sell calls. Read the full secondary report in The Brief →
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ALSO IN TODAY'S AWIB
Today's Flight: Bardstown Bourbon Company Lochs of Jura Barrel Finish vs. 2026 Discovery — full comparison and verdict in the AWIB.
Today's AWIB Opening Pour also covers a paused 50% tariff on Canadian goods — a reprieve that does nothing to reopen the Canadian shelves that have been closed to American bourbon for a year and a half.
Today's AWIB Rickhouse Report covers Sazerac's roughly $677 million acquisition of UK vodka brand Au Vodka, the latest move in a run of deals stretching the Buffalo Trace parent company beyond core American whiskey.
Today's Full AWIB Includes (in reading order)
Bar Talk: 3 debates · The Hunt: 5 active drops · Label Room: 5 items · The Secondary: 3 graded bottles
Rickhouse Report: 5 stories · Regional Report: 3 stories
The full AWIB walks today's bourbon world in reader-forward order — the Opening Pour lead stories, the community Bar Talk, the side-by-side Flight comparison, every active Hunt window, the full Label Room pipeline, the Secondary market grading, and the industry-depth Rickhouse, Regional, and Research Notes coverage. Plus full source trail. Read the full Brief →
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The Perfect Pour — available now.
Build your Rickhouse, log every pour in your Logbook, and learn your palate with your Pour Print — the app that turns every pour into your next discovery.
Founder’s rate: lock $99/year for life as a Bourbon Keeper (through July 3, 2027).

Want the full picture? The complete American Whiskey Industry Brief — every section, every source, every story — is published free every morning at chasingtheunicornpodcast.com. Read it at chasingtheunicornpodcast.com/the-brief/.

Read the Full Brief

Chasing a specific bottle? The Bourbon Release Calendar lists every lottery deadline, walk-up window and MSRP we're tracking — updated every morning.

Mentioned in this episode: Buffalo Trace, Eagle Rare, William Larue Weller, Pappy Van Winkle, Bardstown, Maker's Mark, Blanton's, Old Grand-Dad, Sazerac, BTAC

About John Schuster II

John Schuster II is the host of Chasing the Unicorn Podcast and the editor and publisher of the American Whiskey Industry Brief. A retired U.S. Army Major who spent twenty-six years across the Navy and Army — and an Executive Bourbon Steward — he built a career on systems and on teaching, and now points both at American whiskey. The Cut is his daily take on what moved in bourbon and why it matters, made the way he makes everything: for someone, not everyone. More at momentfirst.com.

About Shauna Hann

Shauna Hann is the editor and a contributor across Chasing the Unicorn Podcast and the American Whiskey Industry Brief, and co-host of Beyond the Cut. A teacher of more than twenty years — including at West Point and across the U.S. Army — she brings historical depth and structural rigor to the work, and a gift for making complex things simple. More of her work is at shaunaonthego.com.