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July 22, 2026S02E87CHASING THE UNICORN

Your Cheap Bourbon Just Got a Price Hike

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July 22, 2026

Your Cheap Bourbon Just Got a Price Hike

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This is The Cut. American whiskey, daily.

Your favorite cheap bourbon isn't cheap anymore. Heaven Hill just confirmed a wholesale increase on Elijah Craig and Larceny, six to eight percent, effective August first — the second hike on these two bottles in fourteen months.

I'm John from Chasing the Unicorn Podcast. Here's what moved today. July 22, 2026.

Let's start with the letter that landed Monday. Heaven Hill told its distributor network the wholesale price on Elijah Craig and Larceny is going up, effective August first. The increase averages six to eight percent across both lines. The company points to barrel costs and glass supply — the same explanation it's leaned on since 2023. Here's the part that actually matters: this is the second increase on these two specific bottles in fourteen months.

Elijah Craig Small Batch, usually around thirty dollars, is headed toward thirty-two or thirty-three once this works through to shelves. Larceny Small Batch, usually twenty-eight, is projected into the twenty-nine to thirty range. Retailers in Ohio and Kentucky say they'll hold current pricing through September before the new cost basis shows up at checkout.

Here's why I'm leading with this instead of some allocated unicorn. These aren't collector bottles. They're two of the most-recommended entry-tier bourbons on the shelf — the ones a lot of people point new drinkers toward first. And it's not just Heaven Hill moving. Sazerac quietly confirmed its own wholesale increase this week on the core Buffalo Trace line — the actual thirty-five-dollar bottle, not the allocated stuff. When the price of "the good cheap bottle" moves on two different fronts in the same week, that touches way more buyers than any lottery ever will. Nothing changes at the register today. But if either bottle is a regular buy for you, the clock just started.

Now — today's Chase. It isn't just the cheap stuff moving. There's a real one to act on this week, and it's not hiding behind a lottery.

Old Forester Birthday Bourbon's 2026 batch is already shipping to stores — weeks ahead of its usual September second release date. Brown-Forman confirmed the spec: eleven years old, a hundred proof, a hundred thirty-nine ninety-nine. Early tasters are calling out dense dried fig, orange peel, and a long cinnamon finish that tracks with that extended age.

Here's why the timing matters. Last year's bottle is already trading sixty to eighty-five percent over its own retail price on the secondary market. That's not some decade-old vintage — that's a bottle from twelve months ago. So if this year's batch is landing on shelves right now, ahead of the official release date, that's a live, buyable window most people don't know is open yet.

The move: if you see this year's Birthday Bourbon on a shelf this week, that's the moment — not the wait-list, not next month. Distributor shipments are already in stores across Kentucky and at select national accounts.

If you want more chances this week, there are two others worth knowing about. William Larue Weller's North Carolina lottery is open now through Sunday, no cost to enter, against a bottle that's holding fourteen hundred to sixteen hundred on the secondary — the strongest floor in its whole collection. And E.H. Taylor Single Barrel Bottled-in-Bond just opened a pre-allocation window through Sunday at eighty dollars, a hundred proof, one barrel, disclosed. If you want a lower-stakes way in on the same week's theme, Buffalo Trace's own gift shop in Frankfort has its weekly single-barrel walk-up running right now too — no lottery, fifty-five dollars, cherry and brown sugar, easy to get if you're anywhere near Frankfort. Different price points, same lesson: the bottles worth chasing this week are the ones you can actually walk up to or sign up for today, not the ones you're waiting years on.

Which brings me to today's First Sip — the secondary market, and why it's worth watching even if you never buy or sell there.

So here's what it is. The secondary market is private bourbon resale — Facebook groups, trading apps, auction sites — operating in a legal gray zone since most states require a license to sell alcohol. Prices there move on real scarcity and perceived scarcity both, and this week's numbers show the difference clearly. Eagle Rare Seventeen is trading around three hundred to three hundred forty dollars, down almost half from its 2023 peak near six-fifty. William Larue Weller, same collection, same distillery, is still trading fourteen hundred to sixteen hundred — basically flat. Same shelf, wildly different trajectories. The reason isn't mysterious — Weller carries a brand halo nothing else can touch, while Eagle Rare Seventeen is now competing head-on with cheaper long-aged bourbons hitting shelves this fall.

What this changes — when one allocated bottle's secondary price is falling while its sibling holds flat, that's not noise. That's the market telling you which scarcity is real and which was just hype catching up with itself. You don't have to trade secondary to use that lesson — it's the same test worth running on anything you're tempted to overpay for.

If you want to track that kind of thing on your own shelf, log a pour in the Perfect Pour app's Logbook — it's available now at theperfectpourapp.com — and watch how your own bottles' Pour Prints compare once you start tracking retail against real-world value over time.

So here's the one thing to take from today. Prices are moving on both ends right now — up on the everyday bottles, down on some of the allocated ones. That's not two separate stories. It's the same market finding its real level. The bottles worth grabbing this week aren't the ones with the biggest name. They're the ones priced honestly, right now, before that changes again.

That's The Cut. The full American Whiskey Industry Brief is free every morning at chasingtheunicornpodcast.com. I'm John Schuster. Thanks for joining me. Your unicorn is out there.

Your favorite cheap bourbon isn't cheap anymore. Heaven Hill confirmed a wholesale price increase averaging 6-8% across Elijah Craig and Larceny, effective August 1 — the second hike on these two bottles in fourteen months. Elijah Craig Small Batch is expected to move from $29.99 toward $32-$33, and Larceny from $27.99 toward $29-$30. These aren't collector bottles — they're two of the most-recommended entry-tier bourbons on the shelf, which means this price move touches far more buyers than any allocation story does. Today's edition also covers Old Forester Birthday Bourbon 2026 shipping weeks ahead of schedule, and a secondary-market split showing Eagle Rare 17 sliding while William Larue Weller holds firm. Listen to the full Cut for today's Chase and First Sip.

Listen to today's episode and find us on Spotify and everywhere you listen at chasingtheunicornpodcast.com/episodes.

The Cut Daily
The pulse of American whiskey: What moved — and why it matters.
Chasing the Unicorn Podcast Edition · A Drunken Unicorn Production
Report Date: July 22, 2026
Reporting Period: July 20, 2026 through July 22, 2026
Classification: Free Edition · Share with Attribution
Free Edition · The Cut Daily · Chasing the Unicorn Podcast · A Drunken Unicorn Production · Drunken Unicorn Productions, LLC. The Cut Daily is the free gateway brief to the American Whiskey Industry Brief. Share, quote, and repost freely with attribution. Required attribution: "The Cut Daily · July 22, 2026 · Chasing the Unicorn Podcast · A Drunken Unicorn Production." The full AWIB is published free every morning at chasingtheunicornpodcast.com. Permissions and inquiries: chasingtheunicornpodcast.com.

Informational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing here is investment advice. Verify before buying, trading, or bidding. We are not liable for errors or financial losses.
What Is The Cut Daily? — The Cut Daily is the free written brief from Chasing the Unicorn. Every weekday we translate the biggest moves in American whiskey into plain English, teach one bourbon concept you can use at the shelf today, flag one bottle under $60 worth knowing about, and curate three Hunt picks across three price tiers. Knowledge-first chase. No FOMO. Just what moved and why it matters.
The full American Whiskey Industry Brief — every story, every Hunt entry, every debate, every auction — is published free every morning. If you want the full pour, not just the taste, read it at chasingtheunicornpodcast.com/the-brief/.
The Cut Daily is the free written companion to today's American Whiskey Industry Brief.
IN TODAY'S CUT

Your favorite cheap bourbon isn't cheap anymore. Heaven Hill just confirmed a wholesale price increase averaging 6 to 8 percent across Elijah Craig and Larceny, effective August 1 — the second hike on these two bottles in fourteen months.

The biggest bourbon news this window is a distributor letter, not a marketing announcement. Heaven Hill confirmed a wholesale price increase on Elijah Craig and Larceny, two of the most-recommended value bourbons on the shelf, landing next month. That matters because these are the bottles a lot of readers point new drinkers toward first — and the price of "the good cheap bottle" is about to move. Today's edition also covers a Buffalo Trace distributor letter previewing fall BTAC pricing, a secondary-market split showing Eagle Rare 17 sliding while William Larue Weller holds firm, and today's Chase, Entry Bottle, and Bar Talk debate all built around the same pricing story.

THE BIG MOVE
Heaven Hill Confirms Wholesale Price Increase on Elijah Craig and Larceny, Effective August 1
Event Date: 2026-07-20

Heaven Hill just told its distributor network the shelf price on two of its best-value bourbons is going up. The letter landed Monday. It confirms a wholesale increase averaging 6 to 8 percent across the Elijah Craig and Larceny portfolios, effective August 1. The company points to barrel costs and glass-supply pressure — the same explanation it's leaned on since 2023. This is Heaven Hill's second increase on these specific bottles in fourteen months. Elijah Craig Small Batch, usually around $29.99, is expected to land closer to $32 to $33 once the increase reaches shelves. Larceny Small Batch, usually $27.99, is projected to move into the $29 to $30 range. Heaven Hill hasn't said much publicly — a spokesperson called it a "periodic pricing adjustment reflecting input costs." Retailers in Ohio and Kentucky say they'll hold current pricing on existing inventory through September before the new cost basis shows up at checkout. These aren't collector bottles. They're two of the most-recommended entry-tier bourbons in the category, which means this price move touches a much wider slice of buyers than any allocation story does.

What It Means For Your Shelf — Nothing changes at the register today. But if Elijah Craig or Larceny is a regular buy for you, the clock on today's price just started.
From today's AWIB Opening Pour. This is one of four lead stories in today's AWIB Opening Pour. The other three: Buffalo Trace's distributor letter previewing split BTAC fall pricing; secondary-market data showing the BTAC floor compressing unevenly; Michter's confirmed $10 MSRP increase on US*1 Toasted Barrel Sourish Mash. Read all four lead stories in The Brief →
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FIRST SIP
The Secondary Market
Paired with today's: Today's Bottle Blue Book composite showing Eagle Rare 17's secondary floor sliding while William Larue Weller holds — and the Bar Talk debate it feeds

The secondary market is private bourbon resale — mostly Facebook groups, trading apps, and auction sites, operating in a legal gray zone since most states require a license to sell alcohol. Prices there move on real scarcity and perceived scarcity both, and today's numbers show the difference clearly. Eagle Rare 17 Year is trading around $310 to $340 against a $99.99 MSRP, down from a 2023 peak near $650 — about a 48 to 50 percent drop. William Larue Weller, over the same stretch, is still trading $1,400 to $1,650, essentially flat. Same collection, same distillery, wildly different trajectories. You don't have to buy or sell secondary to learn from it. The gap tells you which allocated bottles are genuinely scarcity-driven and which were carrying hype pricing that's now correcting back toward what the whiskey is actually worth. What this changes: When a bottle's secondary price is falling while a sibling release holds flat, that's not noise — it's the market telling you where the real scarcity lives.

The Perfect Pour app — available now. Log a pour of any allocated bottle you own in your Logbook, and watch how its Pour Print compares once you start tracking secondary-versus-retail gaps over time. Build your Rickhouse →
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TODAY'S ENTRY BOTTLE
Elijah Craig Small Batch
$29.99 (current pricing — expect $32-$33 after Heaven Hill's August 1 wholesale increase reaches shelves) Nationally distributed, widely stocked at grocery and liquor retailers.
Flavor Profile — Vanilla, toasted oak, and a light char-driven caramel up front, with a gentle spice finish typical of Heaven Hill's traditional mash bill.
Production Context — A no-age-statement small batch bourbon built from a blend of barrels selected for consistency, bottled at 94 proof. Part of the same Elijah Craig line named in today's Big Move price increase.
Why This Matters — It's the exact bottle in today's headline — buying it now, before September, is the single most concrete action a reader can take from today's edition.
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THE CHASE
How to read the chase ratings
YESworth chasing
WATCHhold for now
PASSskip this one
Bottle 1 — Under $80
Heaven Hill Bottled-in-Bond 7-Year — Bardstown Visitor Center Restock
Window: July 19-26, 2026, daily during visitor center hours
Where: Heaven Hill Bourbon Heritage Center, Bardstown, KY
MSRP: $27.99
Flavor Profile — Vanilla, light oak, and a straightforward, easy-drinking profile typical of Heaven Hill's value-tier BiB lineup.
YES
Rationale — Same distillery as today's Big Move, but this bottle's price is holding steady — a useful contrast showing the increase is hitting specific lines, not the whole portfolio.
Bottle 2 — $80 to $200
Old Forester Birthday Bourbon 2026
Window: July 21-28, 2026 (distributor shipments landing at retail now)
Where: Select Kentucky and national retail accounts per distributor allocation
MSRP: $139.99
Flavor Profile — Dense dried fig, orange peel, and a long cinnamon-driven finish consistent with the 11-year age statement.
YES
Rationale — Shipments are actively landing ahead of the traditional September 2 release date, and last year's vintage is already trading 60-85% over MSRP secondary — this is a live, buyable data point in this week's pricing story.
Bottle 3 — $200 and up
No confirmed $200-plus release cleared this window. Sometimes the high end is quiet, and that's fine — we'd rather say so than pad the list with a bottle you saw yesterday.
Today's AWIB Hunt section covers 5 active drops, lotteries, and walk-up windows with full palate direction, rationale, and the Hunt Intelligence Note. See the full Hunt in The Brief →
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THE BAR TALK
Is Eagle Rare 17's Secondary Slide a Buying Opportunity or a Warning?

Eagle Rare 17 Year has dropped from a 2023 secondary peak near $650 down to around $310 to $340 today — roughly half its high. The community is split on whether that's a bottle finally coming back down to earth or a sign the floor keeps falling.

First Sip Moment —

This debate is really about substitution. Eagle Rare 17 is a long-aged, 90-proof bourbon, and it's no longer the only option in that lane — Elijah Craig 18-Year just cleared approval at a fraction of the secondary price. When a direct competitor shows up cheaper, the older bottle's premium has nowhere to hide.

The Math —

Bottle Blue Book's mid-July composite shows Eagle Rare 17 trading $310-$340 against its $99.99 MSRP, down from a $650 peak in 2023 — about 48-50% erosion. William Larue Weller, over the same period, held between $1,400 and $1,650. Whisky Advocate attributes the gap to Weller's Pappy-adjacent brand halo, which has no direct substitute, versus Eagle Rare 17 now competing head-on with cheaper long-aged alternatives.

What It Means For The Rest Of Us —

This isn't a dip to buy into — it's the bottle re-pricing toward what it's actually worth against its competition.

Today's AWIB Bar Talk has 2 more debates with full source citations, fact-checked positions, and editorial assessment. Read the full debates in The Brief →
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SECONDARY SPOTLIGHT
E.H. Taylor Single Barrel Bottled-in-Bond (2025 Release)
Realized Price
$145
Peak Price
$160
Floor Erosion
↓ 9.4%
($160 − $145) ÷ $160 × 100 = 9.4% erosion
What Floor Erosion Means —

Floor erosion measures how far a bottle's resale value has fallen from its all-time high. A 9.4% drop is modest — this bottle realized $145 against a documented $160 peak, and against a $79.99 MSRP that's still roughly 1.8 times retail. Compare that to Eagle Rare 17's nearly 50% slide covered elsewhere in this edition, and the difference is instructive: single-barrel releases with a defined provenance story — one barrel, one distillery, disclosed proof — tend to hold value better than releases without that specificity.

The lesson: Provenance is worth something on the secondary market, even at a modest price point — specificity holds a floor that vaguer scarcity claims don't.
Today's AWIB Secondary section grades 2 more bottles with realized prices, floor erosion math, lineage notes, and buy/hold/sell calls. Read the full secondary report in The Brief →
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ALSO IN TODAY'S AWIB
Today's Flight: Eagle Rare 17 Year vs. William Larue Weller — full comparison and verdict in the AWIB.
Today's AWIB Opening Pour also covers Buffalo Trace's distributor letter previewing split BTAC fall pricing (Stagg and Weller flat, Eagle Rare 17 and Sazerac Rye 18 up $10), and Michter's confirmed MSRP increase on US*1 Toasted Barrel Sourish Mash ahead of its August restock.
Today's AWIB Rickhouse Report covers MGP Ingredients' Q2 earnings data showing a third consecutive quarterly decline in bulk whiskey contract rates — a signal that wholesale oversupply hasn't cleared even as retail pricing climbs.
Today's Full AWIB Includes (in reading order)
Bar Talk: 3 debates · The Hunt: 5 active drops · Label Room: 5 items · The Secondary: 3 graded bottles
Rickhouse Report: 5 stories · Regional Report: 3 stories
The full AWIB walks today's bourbon world in reader-forward order — the Opening Pour lead stories, the community Bar Talk, the side-by-side Flight comparison, every active Hunt window, the full Label Room pipeline, the Secondary market grading, and the industry-depth Rickhouse, Regional, and Research Notes coverage. Plus full source trail. Read the full Brief →
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The Perfect Pour — available now.
Build your Rickhouse, log every pour in your Logbook, and learn your palate with your Pour Print — the app that turns every pour into your next discovery.
Founder’s rate: lock $99/year for life as a Bourbon Keeper (through July 3, 2027).

Want the full picture? The complete American Whiskey Industry Brief — every section, every source, every story — is published free every morning at chasingtheunicornpodcast.com. Read it at chasingtheunicornpodcast.com/the-brief/.

Read the Full Brief

Chasing a specific bottle? The Bourbon Release Calendar lists every lottery deadline, walk-up window and MSRP we're tracking — updated every morning.

Mentioned in this episode: E.H. Taylor, Buffalo Trace, Eagle Rare, William Larue Weller, Stagg, Heaven Hill, Elijah Craig, Larceny, Bardstown, Michter's, Old Forester, Sazerac, BTAC

About John Schuster II

John Schuster II is the host of Chasing the Unicorn Podcast and the editor and publisher of the American Whiskey Industry Brief. A retired U.S. Army Major who spent twenty-six years across the Navy and Army — and an Executive Bourbon Steward — he built a career on systems and on teaching, and now points both at American whiskey. The Cut is his daily take on what moved in bourbon and why it matters, made the way he makes everything: for someone, not everyone. More at momentfirst.com.

About Shauna Hann

Shauna Hann is the editor and a contributor across Chasing the Unicorn Podcast and the American Whiskey Industry Brief, and co-host of Beyond the Cut. A teacher of more than twenty years — including at West Point and across the U.S. Army — she brings historical depth and structural rigor to the work, and a gift for making complex things simple. More of her work is at shaunaonthego.com.