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The Cut — May 13, 2026 — Elijah Craig Barrel Proof C926 Confirmed | $79.99, 14 Years, No Lottery | The Cut


In this episode

Wednesday morning, Heaven Hill put every number on paper. Elijah Craig Barrel Proof C926 — the third batch of the 2026 EC Barrel Proof calendar — locks in at $79.99 MSRP, 130.4 proof, fourteen years and two months average age, with a June 8 national ship date across all fifty states. Approximately thirty-two thousand bottles….

Mentioned in this episode: Buffalo Trace, Eagle Rare, William Larue Weller, George T. Stagg, Pappy Van Winkle, Heaven Hill, Elijah Craig, Booker’s, Sazerac, BTAC

Read the full transcript

Target runtime: 7:48 Word count: 1,192 Estimated runtime: 7:57 Source: The Cut Daily 2026-05-13

This is The Cut. American whiskey, daily.

Fourteen years of bourbon. Seventy-nine dollars. Heaven Hill confirmed the full spec on Elijah Craig Barrel Proof C926 this morning — 130.4 proof, fourteen years and two months, $79.99 MSRP, thirty-two thousand bottles shipping nationally June 8. No lottery.

I’m John from Chasing the Unicorn Podcast. Here’s what moved today. May 13, 2026.

Today’s Big Move — Heaven Hill just locked every number that matters on Elijah Craig Barrel Proof C926, and the spec release is a textbook Wednesday story. Here’s what happened.

Wednesday is pricing and specs day. Today delivered both in one morning.

Heaven Hill issued the official retail-spec confirmation on EC Barrel Proof C926 this morning. Third batch of the 2026 Elijah Craig Barrel Proof calendar. The numbers: $79.99 MSRP, 130.4 proof, average age of 14 years and 2 months, national ship date of June 8. Roughly 32,000 bottles across all fifty states. No lottery.

The Elijah Craig Barrel Proof program releases three times a year. Each batch is bourbon bottled straight from the barrel — no water added, no proof adjustment. Whatever the barrel produced goes in the bottle. The batch names are a simple code: a letter for calendar position, two digits for the year. C926 is the third batch of 2026.

The spec tells a story across all three 2026 batches. January’s A126 was $74.99 — 124.6 proof, 12.4 years. May’s B526 was $74.99 — 127.2 proof, 12.7 years. C926 is $79.99 — 130.4 proof, 14.2 years. The five-dollar lift over B526 reflects a real year and a half of additional age and three extra proof points. That’s the “older barrels priced higher” architecture Heaven Hill announced at the start of 2026, and it’s tracking exactly as described.

The directly comparable precedent is C924 from September 2024 — $79.99, 132.0 proof, 13.4 years. C926 is older by nearly a year. Price is the same.

The MSRP-to-secondary math has been consistent. Recent EC Barrel Proof batches have cleared $115 to $155 at Bottle Spot’s 30-day average — a $35 to $80 spread that’s held across 18 months of releases.

June 8 is the national ship date. Most retailers will receive inventory between June 10 and June 15. No lottery — EC Barrel Proof distributes through the standard trade channel.

Call your local specialty store this week and ask about C926 expected arrival. Most stores will have their distributor commitment confirmed by Friday. Three and a half weeks to a bottle at $79.99, no entry required. If you want to know what this tastes like before you commit to 130.4 proof at $79.99, Elijah Craig Small Batch is the on-ramp — same distillery, same mash bill, same Heaven Hill house character, at 94 proof for $34.99.

Today’s First Sip — the BTAC. The Buffalo Trace Antique Collection. It comes up in today’s pricing news, and most people have heard the name without knowing what’s actually in it.

So here’s what it is.

BTAC is five bottles released every fall — typically September through November. All five are allocated. That means demand exceeds supply and they distribute through state lottery systems or retailer pre-allocation lists. You don’t find them on a standard shelf.

The five: George T. Stagg — barrel proof bourbon, typically 130 to 145 proof, 15-plus years aged, the flagship. William Larue Weller — barrel proof wheated bourbon, same mash bill family as Pappy Van Winkle. Thomas H. Handy Sazerac — barrel proof straight rye. Eagle Rare 17 Year — 90 proof, 17 years aged. Sazerac Rye 18 Year — 90 proof, 18 years aged.

MSRPs are moving this fall. Stagg to $149.99. Eagle Rare 17 and Sazerac 18 to $129.99 each. Those prices still sit far below secondary averages — Stagg 2025 has been clearing $480 to $620. The spread is enormous. Lottery entry math still favors the consumer.

Think of the BTAC the way you’d think of a theater’s premium seats. The face value is going up. The ticket is still worth more than face once you’re in.

What this changes — when you see BTAC news, you know which five bottles are moving and why this year’s pricing reset is a structural story, not noise. Which brings us to today’s Chase — and the bottle that’s actually dropping this morning.

Today’s Chase — three bottles across three tiers. Barrel proof is the thread running through all of them. Let’s start with the one that matters most.

Booker’s Bourbon “Charlie’s Batch” 2026-01. Mid tier. $99.99 MSRP. Today is the drop.

In the glass: powerful caramel and oak on entry, dried apple and the signature Beam peanut note on the mid-palate. At 124.5 proof this is bigger and oilier than most cask-strength expressions at this price tier. Ten to fifteen drops of water open the aromatics and let the high-rye architecture read clearly — that’s where this bottle delivers.

Here’s why it’s the spotlight. Four consecutive Booker’s batches have cleared $140 to $175 at Bottle Spot’s 30-day average. A $40 to $75 spread above $99.99 MSRP, and it’s been the most consistent quarterly cask-strength spread in the major-house category. Charlie’s Batch enters today at the same price with the same spread intact.

High-probability walk-in markets — Indianapolis, Louisville, Denver, Houston, Phoenix, Portland — arrive at opening this morning. Medium-probability markets like Chicago, Atlanta, and Charlotte: call your buyer first before you drive out.

This is worth the chase.

Also on today’s Chase — Hard Truth Distilling Barrel Finish Reserve French Oak 2026 in the under-$80 tier at $64.99, two days left on the allocation window, Breaking Bourbon’s highest program score in three release cycles — French-oak secondary maturation with vanilla-cream and stone fruit where most bourbon at this price leads with char. And Garrison Brothers Cowboy Bourbon 2026 at $149.99 MSRP — 135.6 proof, Western distribution still active in Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, and Oklahoma, secondary floor tracking $200 to $260, and the window closing within days. Full detail in today’s Cut Daily. If you want more, head to our Patreon at chasingtheunicornpodcast.

Alright — today’s Bar Talk. The internet is arguing about whether C926 at $79.99 is a durable pricing benchmark or just one batch.

Today’s Bar Talk — is EC Barrel Proof C926 establishing the structural ceiling for premium-age barrel-proof bourbon, or is 2026’s supply math about to push prices up? Community’s split on whether Heaven Hill’s “older barrels priced higher” architecture is a durable system or a one-cycle story. Here’s what’s actually going on.

The r/bourbon thread on this morning’s spec confirmation had nearly 900 upvotes by mid-morning. One camp says $79.99 locks in the floor for premium-age barrel-proof with older batches predictably priced higher each cycle. The opposing camp says 86,000 bottles released across three batches through May signals rickhouse pressure that could force a back-half reset. A third camp says both sides are over-reading one batch. The third camp is right.

The math. The 2026 batches: A126 at $74.99, 12.4 years; B526 at $74.99, 12.7 years; C926 at $79.99, 14.2 years. The directly comparable precedent is C924 from September 2024 — $79.99, 132.0 proof, 13.4 years. C926 is older by nearly a year. Price is identical. Heaven Hill’s Q1 distributor letter telegraphed a 12 to 18% allocation expansion for 2026, and the 32,000-bottle C926 count is about 18% larger than B526’s 27,000. More bottles at slightly higher prices — not tighter supply. The “math gets worse” camp is working from a thesis the actual numbers don’t support.

Here’s what it means for the rest of us — C926 is the year’s strongest age-to-price ratio in the barrel-proof tier at $79.99, and no lottery stands between you and June 8.

Two more things before we close. First — today’s AWIB on Patreon has the full Flight comparison: Elijah Craig Barrel Proof C926 versus Buffalo Trace Stagg Jr. Batch 23. The barrel-proof value question at $79.99 versus $74.99 MSRP — side-by-side specs, full pre-release tasting notes, and the purchase verdict for the consumer deciding which barrel-proof program to chase this summer. The verdict on which one wins for which kind of bourbon-curious drinker is in the brief. Second — today’s AWIB Opening Pour has Buffalo Trace’s full BTAC 2026 fall pricing breakdown: Stagg to $149.99, Eagle Rare 17 and Sazerac 18 each to $129.99, and the complete June state-lottery calendar openings where those new prices apply. Both are waiting on Patreon.

That’s The Cut. The full American Whiskey Industry Brief is waiting at patreon.com/ChasingTheUnicornPodcast. I’m John Schuster. Thanks for joining me. Your unicorn is out there.


The Written Briefing

The Cut Daily

Wednesday morning, Heaven Hill put every number on paper. Elijah Craig Barrel Proof C926 — the third batch of the 2026 EC Barrel Proof calendar — locks in at $79.99 MSRP, 130.4 proof, fourteen years and two months average age, with a June 8 national ship date across all fifty states. Approximately thirty-two thousand bottles. No lottery. The batch architecture tells the story: A126 at $74.99, 12.4 years; B526 at $74.99, 12.7 years; C926 at $79.99, 14.2 years. The directly comparable precedent is C924 from September 2024 — same $79.99 price, older by nearly a year at C926. The five-dollar lift reflects real age, not a pricing reset. Most retailers will have their distributor commitment confirmed by Friday. June 10 through 15 is the expected delivery window. Three and a half weeks, no entry required. Today’s Cut also covers what the BTAC actually is and why today’s Buffalo Trace pricing news matters, Booker’s “Charlie’s Batch” 2026-01 arriving nationally this morning, and the Pappy Van Winkle 15-Year floor-stability watch entering its final four days before confirmation. Listen to the full Cut for everything you need to act this week.

Listen to today’s episode and find us on Spotify and everywhere you listen at chasingtheunicornpodcast.com/podcast.

The Cut Daily
The pulse of American whiskey: What moved — and why it matters.
Chasing the Unicorn Podcast Edition · A Drunken Unicorn Production
Report Date: May 13, 2026
Reporting Period: May 11, 2026 through May 13, 2026
Classification: Free Edition · Share with Attribution
Free Edition · The Cut Daily · Chasing the Unicorn Podcast · A Drunken Unicorn Production · Drunken Unicorn Productions, LLC. The Cut Daily is the free gateway brief to the American Whiskey Industry Brief. Share, quote, and repost freely with attribution. Required attribution: “The Cut Daily · May 13, 2026 · Chasing the Unicorn Podcast · A Drunken Unicorn Production.” The full AWIB is a paid subscriber edition on Patreon. Permissions and inquiries: chasingtheunicornpodcast.com.

Informational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing here is investment advice. Verify before buying, trading, or bidding. We are not liable for errors or financial losses.
What Is The Cut Daily? — The Cut Daily is the free written brief from Chasing the Unicorn. Every weekday we translate the biggest moves in American whiskey into plain English, teach one bourbon concept you can use at the shelf today, flag one bottle under $60 worth knowing about, and curate three Hunt picks across three price tiers. Knowledge-first chase. No FOMO. Just what moved and why it matters.
The full American Whiskey Industry Brief — every story, every Hunt entry, every debate, every auction — is published daily for subscribers on Patreon. If you want the full pour, not just the taste, join us at patreon.com/ChasingTheUnicornPodcast.
The Cut Daily is the free written companion to today’s American Whiskey Industry Brief.
IN TODAY’S CUT

Fourteen years of bourbon. Seventy-nine dollars. Heaven Hill confirmed the full spec on Elijah Craig Barrel Proof C926 this morning — 130.4 proof, fourteen years and two months, $79.99 MSRP, thirty-two thousand bottles shipping nationally June 8. No lottery.

Heaven Hill locked every number that matters on Elijah Craig Barrel Proof C926 this morning — proof, age statement, price, ship date, and bottle count — and the June 8 national arrival gives bourbon drinkers a clean four-week window to make a decision with no lottery friction. That retail-spec confirmation anchors today’s edition. We’ve also got Buffalo Trace’s distributor letter previewing the largest single-cycle price reset across the Buffalo Trace Antique Collection since 2022, what the BTAC actually is and why today’s pricing news matters more than it sounds, and the Pappy Van Winkle 15-Year sub-$1,000 watch entering its final four days before the four-week confirmation threshold.

THE BIG MOVE
Heaven Hill Just Locked the Spec on Elijah Craig Barrel Proof C926 — $79.99, 130.4 Proof, 14.2 Years, June 8 Ship, No Lottery
Event Date: May 13, 2026

Heaven Hill issued the official retail-spec confirmation on Elijah Craig Barrel Proof C926 this morning. Third release of the 2026 Elijah Craig Barrel Proof calendar. The numbers: $79.99 MSRP, 130.4 proof, an average age of 14 years and 2 months, and a national ship date of June 8, 2026. Roughly 32,000 bottles distributed across all fifty states. No lottery.

The Elijah Craig Barrel Proof program releases three times a year. Each batch is bourbon bottled straight from the barrel — no water added, no proof adjustment. Whatever the barrel produced is what goes in the bottle. The batch names follow a simple pattern: A, B, C for the calendar sequence, and two digits for the year. C926 is the third batch of 2026, and the spec shows why it carries a higher price than the first two: January’s A126 was $74.99 at 124.6 proof, 12.4 years old. May’s B526 was $74.99 at 127.2 proof, 12.7 years old. C926 is $79.99 at 130.4 proof, 14.2 years old. The five-dollar lift reflects an extra year and a half of age and three additional proof points. That’s the documented “older barrels priced higher” architecture Heaven Hill telegraphed at the start of 2026, and it’s working exactly as described.

The last time this program hit $79.99 was September 2024’s C924 — 132.0 proof, 13.4 years. C926 is older by almost a year with comparable proof. The MSRP-to-secondary math has been consistent: recent batches have cleared $115 to $155 at Bottle Spot’s 30-day average, a $35 to $80 spread that’s held across the 2025 and 2026 cycle.

June 8 is the national ship date. Most retailers will receive inventory between June 10 and June 15. There’s no lottery mechanic — EC Barrel Proof distributes through the standard trade channel.

What It Means For Your Shelf — Call your local specialty store this week and ask about C926 expected arrival. Most stores will have their distributor commitment confirmed by Friday. Three and a half weeks to a bottle at $79.99 — no entry required.
From today’s AWIB Opening Pour. This is one of four lead stories in today’s AWIB Opening Pour. The other three: Buffalo Trace distributor letter previewing BTAC 2026 fall cohort pricing — largest single-cycle MSRP reset since 2022, with Stagg, Weller 12, Eagle Rare 17, and Sazerac 18 all moving before June lottery windows open; Maker’s Mark 2026 Private Selection program pricing released at $89.99 with custom-stave fall slot booking opening today; Booker’s “Charlie’s Batch” Wednesday national arrival — state-by-state allocation map and walk-in probability guide now public. Read all four lead stories on Patreon →
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FIRST SIP
BTAC Explained — The Antique Collection Breakdown
Paired with today’s: Buffalo Trace distributor letter previewing BTAC 2026 fall cohort pricing architecture — largest single-cycle MSRP reset since 2022, with four of five expressions moving before June lottery calendar openings

Today’s Buffalo Trace pricing news involves something called the BTAC — the Buffalo Trace Antique Collection. It gets mentioned constantly in bourbon coverage, but what is it?

BTAC is five bottles, released every fall — typically September through November. All five are allocated, meaning demand exceeds supply and they distribute through state lottery systems or retailer pre-allocation lists, not through a standard shelf placement. The five:

George T. Stagg — barrel proof bourbon, typically 130 to 145 proof, 15-plus years aged. The flagship. Highest demand, highest secondary prices.

William Larue Weller — barrel proof wheated bourbon (same mash bill family as Pappy Van Winkle), typically 125 to 135 proof, 12-plus years aged.

Thomas H. Handy Sazerac — barrel proof straight rye, 6-plus years aged. The rye option.

Eagle Rare 17 Year — 90 proof, 17 years aged. Lower proof, long age. The “elegant” bottle in the collection.

Sazerac Rye 18 Year — 90 proof, 18 years aged. The aged rye.

MSRPs are moving this year. Stagg goes to $149.99. Eagle Rare 17 to $129.99. Sazerac 18 to $129.99. Weller 12 — a related program bottle — to $54.99. Those prices still sit well below secondary market averages: Stagg 2025 has been clearing $480 to $620. The spread is still enormous. Lottery entry math remains in the consumer’s favor.

What this changes: when you see BTAC news, you now know which five bottles are moving — and why the pricing reset this year is a structural story, not just noise.

The Perfect Pour app — coming soon. For the full deep-dive on BTAC — the 23-year program history, how each bottle’s barrel selection works, the state-by-state lottery geography, and what the current secondary floor compression across the collection tells you about bourbon’s broader correction cycle — get notified when the Perfect Pour app launches. Get notified when it launches →
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TODAY’S ENTRY BOTTLE
Elijah Craig Small Batch
$34.99 National continuous availability — Total Wine, Kroger, Walmart, Target, most grocery and chain liquor stores in all fifty states. One of the most broadly distributed aged small-batch bourbons in the American market.
Flavor Profile — Toasted caramel and vanilla lead with baked apple and a note of oak on the mid-palate; 94-proof presentation delivers gentle warmth that resolves into a medium-length finish with dried fruit and a clean, lightly spiced close from the traditional Heaven Hill rye component.
Production Context — Heaven Hill’s traditional bourbon mash bill — 78% corn, 12% malted barley, 10% rye — aged a minimum of 10 to 12 years at Heaven Hill’s Bardstown facility and bottled at 94 proof; same distillery and same base grain recipe as today’s Big Move, expressed at standard proof and a quarter of the price.
Why This Matters — Elijah Craig Small Batch is the on-ramp to today’s Big Move story — same distillery, same mash bill architecture, same Heaven Hill house character as EC Barrel Proof C926, at standard proof for $34.99 before you commit to 130.4 proof at $79.99 in June.
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THE CHASE
How to read the chase ratings
YESworth chasing
WATCHhold for now
PASSskip this one
Bottle 1 — Under $80
Hard Truth Distilling Barrel Finish Reserve French Oak 2026
Window: Active through Friday May 15, 2026 — two days remaining
Where: Hard Truth Distilling tasting room (Nashville IN, Tue–Sun 11 AM–6 PM ET); Big Red Liquors (Bloomington, Indianapolis); specialty accounts in Chicago, Cincinnati, Louisville, Nashville TN
MSRP: $64.99
Flavor Profile — French oak secondary maturation delivers vanilla-cream, stone fruit (apricot, white peach), soft baking spice, and structured oak on the nose; medium-length finish with toasted caramel and dried citrus peel — materially gentler than American-oak char-forward bourbon at the same price tier
YES
Rationale — Two days left on the allocation window. Breaking Bourbon’s 4.0/5 is the program’s highest score in three release cycles, tied to a longer French oak secondary maturation this vintage. At $64.99, it’s the best French-oak-finished entry in the category by $40 over the nearest comparable — and the secondary floor of $85 to $110 holds past Friday’s close.
Bottle 2 — $80 to $200
Booker’s Bourbon “Charlie’s Batch” 2026-01
Window: National specialty arrival today May 13, 11:00 AM local; Clermont visitor center walk-up 9:00 AM ET (~120 bottles remaining); ~12,000 bottles 50-state distribution
Where: Total Wine specialty national, Seelbach’s national online (11:00 AM ET drop), Binny’s Chicago, Westport Whiskey & Wine (Louisville), Hi-Time Wine Cellars (Costa Mesa), Park Avenue Liquor (NYC), Justins’ House of Bourbon; Clermont walk-up 9:00 AM ET
MSRP: $99.99
Flavor Profile — Classic Booker’s high-rye architecture — powerful caramel-oak entry, dried apple, the signature Beam peanut mid-palate; 124.5 proof rewards 10 to 15 drops of water with dramatic aromatic opening; bigger and oilier than most cask-strength expressions at this MSRP tier
YES
Rationale — Today is the drop. Four consecutive Booker’s batches have cleared $140 to $175 at Bottle Spot’s 30-day average — a $40 to $75 MSRP-to-secondary spread that has been the most consistent quarterly cask-strength spread in the major-house category. High-probability walk-in markets (Indianapolis, Louisville, Denver, Houston, Phoenix, Portland) should arrive at opening this morning. Medium-probability markets (Chicago, Atlanta, Charlotte): call your buyer first.
Bottle 3 — $200 and up
Garrison Brothers Cowboy Bourbon 2026
Window: Western distribution (AZ/CO/NM/OK) entering fifth week; approximately 280 to 380 bottles remaining; window closing within 2 to 4 days at current pace
Where: Garrison Brothers Distillery (Hye TX, Tue–Sun 10 AM–5 PM CT); Total Wine Phoenix/Scottsdale (~6 bottles); Argonaut Wine & Liquor (Denver, ~4); Quarter Liquor (Albuquerque, ~3); Byron’s Liquor Warehouse (OKC, ~3)
MSRP: $149.99 (secondary floor $200–$260 at Bottle Spot 30-day average)
Flavor Profile — Texas Hill Country aging concentrates dramatically — scorched oak, dark caramel, dried fig, mesquite-smoked grain on entry; 135.6 proof requires real water work (15 drops, 60 seconds) to reveal tropical fruit, toffee, and cinnamon underneath; intensely woody, long finish
YES
Rationale — The most extreme proof print still available at MSRP in the current Hunt with a secondary floor that clears MSRP by $50 to $110. Fifth-week depletion pace is running 14% faster than the 2025 cycle at the same week — the AZ/CO/NM/OK window is closing within days.
Today’s AWIB Hunt section covers 5 active drops, lotteries, and walk-up windows with full palate direction, rationale, and the Hunt Intelligence Note. See the full Hunt on Patreon →
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THE BAR TALK
Elijah Craig C926 at $79.99 — Is This a Durable Barrel-Proof Benchmark or Just One Batch?

The r/bourbon thread on this morning’s EC C926 spec confirmation had nearly 900 upvotes by mid-morning and the debate running underneath has a clean structure. One camp argues $79.99 establishes the structural ceiling for premium-age barrel-proof bourbon in the 2026 cycle, with older batches predictably priced higher and the “older barrels priced higher” architecture locking in a durable tier. The opposing camp argues that 2026’s front-loaded allocation schedule — roughly 86,000 bottles released across three batches through May — signals rickhouse pressure that could force a back-half pricing reset. A third camp says both sides are over-reading a single batch. The third camp is right.

First Sip Moment —

A quick note on how the batch naming works, because it’s relevant here. EC Barrel Proof batches are labeled with a letter (A, B, C — first, second, third batch of the year), followed by the distillation-vintage year, followed by the release year’s last two digits. C926: third batch of 2026, distilled in approximately 2012, which tracks to the 14.2-year age statement. The pricing architecture is documented: A and B batches, typically 12 to 13 years, have carried $74.99. C batches with 14-plus years have hit $79.99 in recent cycles — the same $79.99 print last appeared on C924 in September 2024 at 132.0 proof and 13.4 years. C926 is older than C924 by almost a year. The five-dollar premium over B526 reflects real age, not marketing.

The Math —

Heaven Hill’s batch archive shows the pattern clearly. The 2026 batches: A126 at $74.99, 124.6 proof, 12.4 years; B526 at $74.99, 127.2 proof, 12.7 years; C926 at $79.99, 130.4 proof, 14.2 years. The directly comparable precedent is C924 from September 2024 — $79.99, 132.0 proof, 13.4 years. C926 has a higher age statement by 0.8 years and two fewer proof points. The price is identical. Heaven Hill’s Q1 distributor letter telegraphed a 12 to 18% allocation expansion for 2026, and the 32,000-bottle C926 count is approximately 18% larger than B526’s 27,000 — which means more bottles at slightly higher prices, not tighter supply. The “sub-allocation math gets worse” camp is working from a thesis the actual numbers don’t support. Secondary reference: recent batches have cleared $115 to $155 at Bottle Spot’s 30-day average, holding a $35 to $80 MSRP-to-secondary spread across 18 months of releases. Whisky Advocate scores 90 to 93 points with older-age batches at the top of the range. The back-half 2026 question (D526, E926) will likely resolve at $74.99 for 12 to 13-year batches and $79.99 again for any 14-plus year print — consistent with the architecture, not an anomaly of it.

What It Means For The Rest Of Us —

C926 is the year’s strongest age-to-price ratio at $79.99 — and no lottery stands between you and June 8.

Today’s AWIB Bar Talk has 2 more debates with full source citations, fact-checked positions, and editorial assessment. Read the full debates on Patreon →
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SECONDARY SPOTLIGHT
Pappy Van Winkle’s Family Reserve 15-Year (2024 Release)
Realized Price
$953
Peak Price
$1,425
Floor Erosion
↓ 33.1%
($1,425 − $953) ÷ $1,425 × 100 = 33.1%
What Floor Erosion Means —

Floor erosion is how far a bottle’s secondary market price has dropped from its all-time high. Pappy Van Winkle 15-Year peaked at $1,425 — that was the fourth quarter of 2022, when allocated bourbon secondary prices were at their highest point in the modern era. Today’s realized price, averaged across six transactions in the May 6 through May 12 window at Bottle Spot, is $953. That’s 33.1% below peak, meaning the bottle is now worth about two-thirds of what it commanded three years ago. What makes this week’s number significant isn’t the erosion percentage — it’s the stability. Pappy 15 has been trading inside a $945 to $965 weekly band for four consecutive weeks now. Narrow, sustained stability at the same level is how the secondary market signals a floor has been found. Sunday May 17 — four days from now — is the four-week confirmation threshold. If Pappy 15 closes the week at or above $953, the secondary call shifts from hold to accumulate. The concurrent Eagle Rare 17 four-week threshold lands the same Sunday, compressing two mid-tier confirmation events into one 48-hour window.

The lesson: A narrow weekly-close band is itself a near-bottom signal — prices that stop falling and start hovering are telling you something real about where buyers and sellers have agreed to meet.
Today’s AWIB Secondary section grades 2 more bottles with realized prices, floor erosion math, lineage notes, and buy/hold/sell calls. Read the full secondary report on Patreon →
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ALSO IN TODAY’S AWIB
Today’s Flight: Heaven Hill Elijah Craig Barrel Proof C926 (confirmed this morning) vs. Buffalo Trace Stagg Jr. Batch 23 (documented reference) — the barrel-proof value math at $79.99 vs. $74.99 MSRP, side-by-side spec table, full pre-release tasting notes, and the purchase verdict for the consumer deciding which barrel-proof program to chase this summer. Full comparison and verdict in the AWIB.
Buffalo Trace’s Q2 2026 distributor letter previews the BTAC 2026 fall cohort pricing architecture in full — Stagg to $149.99, Weller 12 to $54.99, Eagle Rare 17 and Sazerac 18 each to $129.99, Thomas H. Handy held flat. Today’s AWIB Opening Pour has the complete lift breakdown, the Lew Bryson American Whiskey Magazine analysis of what the cluster reset means for the broader Sazerac portfolio, and the June state-lottery calendar openings where these new prices apply.
Today’s AWIB Rickhouse Report covers the Old Forester Birthday Bourbon 2026 COLA capture — 12-year age statement confirmed for a fourth consecutive vintage, 100 proof, $129.99 MSRP (4.0% increase), approximately 14,500 bottles, September 2 release. The 25th annual edition. Pre-allocation lists at Westport, Justins’, Liquor Barn Kentucky, and Seelbach’s activate the week of August 11 — and Brown-Forman Q4 earnings on May 28 may carry pricing commentary ahead of that window.
Today’s Full AWIB Includes (in reading order)
Opening Pour: 4 stories · Bar Talk: 3 debates · The Flight: 1 comparison · The Hunt: 5 active drops · Label Room: 5 items · The Secondary: 3 graded bottles
Rickhouse Report: 5 stories · Regional Report: 3 stories · Research Notes: complete
The full AWIB walks today’s bourbon world in reader-forward order — the Opening Pour lead stories, the community Bar Talk, the side-by-side Flight comparison, every active Hunt window, the full Label Room pipeline, the Secondary market grading, and the industry-depth Rickhouse, Regional, and Research Notes coverage. Plus full source trail. Join on Patreon →
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The Cut Daily
Report Date: May 13, 2026 · Chasing the Unicorn Podcast · A Drunken Unicorn Production
Free Edition · No Redistribution Without Permission

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© 2026 Drunken Unicorn Productions · All Rights Reserved

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